Conclusion
Militaries in all countries increasingly have to contend with the following constraints:
•Mounting public demand for reduction in defence outlay and seeking justification for major expenditure. Defence budgets have failed to keep pace with inflationary trends. This has resulted in falling defence allocations in real terms.
•Ceilings on manpower and rising manpower costs.
•Exorbitant equipment costs, especially of high-tech systems.
•Increasing public scrutiny resulting in demands for transparency and justification for defence expenditure.
•Rapidly changing face of conflicts in recent times. Unconventional conflicts and internal security concerns necessitate entirely different treatment.
•Difficulty in forecasting realistic long term force requirement due to unpredictable nature of threats. Consequently, defence planners tend to be over-cautious and play safe, more so as militaries cannot be expanded instantly when crisis become imminent.
Above constraints notwithstanding, militaries continue to be responsible for safeguarding national interests. There is no dilution in that. Militaries cannot fail their nations. It is for the defence planners to devise innovative measures for optimum utilisation of allocated resources. Defence economics can be of immense help as a tool of decision making. It can assist in the evolution of policies, force levels, their structures and functioning to achieve national strategic objectives with least burden on the national exchequer.
Economics of defence cannot be ignored as defence consumes considerable resources. Though defence and economic development are complementary, they have a mutually antagonistic relationship as both vie for the same pie. Application of defence economics can reconcile the two and optimise returns.
In India, there is a pressing need to inculcate a culture of cost consciousness.It is time to get over the old approach that defence matters are beyond economic justification.Policy makers should learn to take decisions with cost as an important parameter. Additionally, there is a need to develop a pool of expert defence economists who could provide inputs for considered decision making.
About Author – Major Gen Mrinal Suman is India’s foremost expert in defence procurement and procedures and offsets. He heads Defense Technical Assessment and Advisory Services Group of CII.