Mitras (friends) this piece has 2 parts.
Editor
The
The book highlights the damage caused to good governance by the lengthening shadow of parochial politics, supported by radical Islam and myopic leftist leadership. The emergence of several casteist parties and regional satraps, functioning in tandem with self-seeking leftist groups like the CPI (M), has systematically undermined most democratic institutions. The resultant political destabilization could sound death knell of Indian democracy.
The author has also exposed central government's clumsy fudging of Census 2001 on the eve of Maharashtra elections by omitting 3.67 crore Indians from Census 2001 analysis and questionable deletion of the census data of four previous decades with retrospective effect. Never before in
The book draws pointed attention to the fast growing 'Crescent Corridor' across the heartland States of
The author has highlighted in Chapter 8 (titled Secular Graffiti and Hindu Dilemma) the growing phenomenon of heaping drivel and gratuitous insults on Hindus and their civilizational identity by sham secularist ideologues and political commentators. Just now Hindus have no voice in the echelons of power because they have become a fractured society, due to meaningless casteist divisions. For uniting the Hindus a Yagna representing all castes and regions should be held at which all caste distinctions should be abolished in one go and all Hindus declared as "Dwijya" or twice born. It may be recalled that in the hoary past when the country faced the problem of shortage of Kshatriya warriors, a Yagna was held in Aravallis, with blessings of Dharamacharyas, and many non-Kshatriya castes and tribal clans were baptized as Kshatriyas. They came to be known as "Agni Kula" Rajputs. Similarly in 1699 Guru Gobind Singh had created "the Khalsa" by offering 'Amrit' to five persons belonging to different Hindu castes, including the highest and the lowest, and made them sit together, eat together and fight together against growing tyranny of Aurangzeb.
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"Facts don't cease to exist because they are ignored".
-Aldous Huxley.
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We have seen how a wholly unwarranted controversy was created in political circles as well as English media by the publication of religion-wise data of census 2001 in the first week of September 2004. It was amusing to see in the Saturday Special of a leading national daily on October 2, 2004, two interesting articles on census 2001 authored by Muslim columnists - both based on the false premise that the decadal population growth of Muslims according to census 2001 was declining faster than that of Hindus and not rising, as revealed by census 2001(1). One of these was by the well known political commentator, late Dr. Rafiq Zakaria, while the other was by Abusaleh Shariff, a demographer associated with the NCAER (National Council of Applied Economic Research). It is well known that the census figures initially announced by the Registrar General in the first week of September 2004 had revealed that the population of Muslims was growing at a fast pace way ahead of all other religious groups which led to multiple howls of protests by the leftists and self-styled secularists who started baying for the blood of the Registrar. Bowing to the intense pressure mounted by the government the Registrar decided to present the census data under two heads, namely the "unadjusted" and the "adjusted". The "adjusted data" which was manufactured by deleting more than 3.6 crore Indians living in Assam and Jammu & Kashmir, showed that in percentage terms the Muslim population was growing at 29.5 percent (as against 36 percent in terms of the "unadjusted" data). And to achieve the desired political objective on the eve of
Indeed most surprising is the fact that both these columnists used the doctored census data for arriving at highly contestable conclusions by ignoring the truth. Surely neither Dr. Rafiq Zakaria nor Abusaleh Shariff could be so naïve as not to comprehend that the revised figures labeled "adjusted" were nothing short of statistical manipulation intended to bluff the gullible Indian people, primarily the English-knowing Hindu middle class. They totally ignored the salience of deleting with retrospective effect the census figures pertaining to the two demographically sensitive states of Jammu & Kashmir and
One of the authors of this book had remained in touch with the office of the Registrar General of Census for updating two chapters of his book, Long March of Islam since May 2004. His personal visits to the Census office unwittingly gave him an insight into the questionable process of fudging the census 2001 by deleting with retrospective effect the headcount pertaining to
In conformity with the globally recognized best practice of maintaining purity of statistical analysis and for the sake of truth, it will be desirable to rely on the "unadjusted" census data released by the Registrar in the first week of September 2004. As we shall presently understand, the fudged data, euphemistically labeled as "adjusted", is nothing more than a clumsy mutilation of census figures.
As explained in the previous chapter, for the last fifty years the population of Muslims alone has been racing ahead at a fast pace, way ahead of all other religious groups. It may be recalled that the census 1991 had recorded that the Muslim growth rate during 1981-91 decade had risen to 32.76 percent as against the declining Hindu growth rate of 22.78 percent. (4) Unfortunately the census 2001 showed a further sharp acceleration in the growth rate of Muslims, while recording a sharper decline in the growth rate of Hindu faiths. It showed that in percentage terms the growth rate of the Muslims during the decade remained very high, while that of the Hindus has fallen to a new low of 20 percent.
In percentage terms the growth rate of the Sikh community, an integral component of Hindus and allied faiths, has been going down very rapidly. Their growth rate had sharply declined from 32.2 percent during the decade 1961-71 to 24.3 in 1981-91. According to census 2001 it has hit a new low of merely 18.2 percent (unadjusted data). In other words, during the last four decades the growth rate of Sikh population has gone down quite fast, i.e., by nearly 14 percentage points. What is more important is that this declining trend is likely to be maintained for the next 30 to 40 years because of the disproportionately lower percentage of Sikh cohorts in the age-group 0-6 years, as revealed by census 2001. Interestingly according to the adjusted data (contrived by omitting 3.6 percent of
The demographic threat to the Hindus is nearly as serious as to the Sikhs, perhaps much graver in the eastern region, especially
Though the sharp increase in Muslim growth rate, revealed by the census 2001, is an established fact, truth is a red rag to politicians of our country trying to usurp power by recourse to vote bank strategy. All hell broke loose in the so-called 'secular' political circles as soon as the Registrar, J.K. Banthia, released the census data. Although the officer had performed his official duty in an upright manner, unseemly attempts were made to haul him over coals. A leading English daily labeled him a "saffronite". Quite a few newspapers reported that he was given a dressing down by the Home Minister himself, though God alone knows why. Ultimately the Registrar was pressurized by the power-that-be into making certain unwarranted changes in the census 2001 data by deleting retrospectively more than 3.6 crore Indians from census 2001 headcount to make the findings politically acceptable on the eve of Maharashtra elections. This huge deletion of all census enumerations pertaining to Assam and Jammu & Kashmir from 1961 onward with retrospective effect was done, after attempting all sorts of permutations and combinations, solely for scaling down the percentage growth of Muslims just to show that their growth rate, too, was declining like that of Hindus and Sikhs.
The desired objective of projecting a declining trend of Muslim growth rate could not have been achieved even by leaving out of calculations the entire 2001 census data pertaining to the State of Jammu & Kashmir which showed a total population of only 101,43,700 comprising 67,93,240 Muslims, 30,05,349 Hindus and 3,45,111 'others'. In the huge headcount of more than one billion people, it was too small a figure and its deletion alone could not have achieved "the politically desired" result. While grappling with the problem created by political diktat suddenly a bright statistician in the Registrar's office recalled that no census had taken place in
To project the desired downtrend in Muslim growth rate, it was necessary to delete the entire census data pertaining to these 2 states from 1961 onwards with retrospective effect - something never done before. More importantly, it was totally violative of the spirit of the Census Act 1948, and the pending Right To Information Bill. But ultimately the 'pseudo-secular' politics triumphed over truth and the growth rate of Muslims was brought down by omitting 1,50,33,851 Muslims, 2,03,01794 Hindus and 14,63,573 'others' belonging to the 2 States of Jammu & Kashmir and Assam from census 2001. The peremptory deletion of the combined population of these two States was able to take care of nearly 43 percent Muslims along with the Hindus and 'others' constituting the remaining 57 percent population. The peculiar demographic mosaic of the two States, both having a high percentage of Muslims, provided the necessary scope for doctoring the census data for achieving the politically desirable goal.
Thus the politically motivated fudging, though uniquely unprecedented, was accomplished by deleting from the census analysis nearly 3 crore 67 lakhs residents of two States (including Muslims, Hindus, Sikhs and others) constituting more than 3.6 percent of India's population on the frivolous plea that no comparable data was available for Jammu & Kashmir in respect of census 1991 and that similarly no actual headcount took place in Assam during 1981 census. Simultaneously the census data pertaining to 4 decades, from 1961 to 2001, in respect of the 2 states of Jammu & Kashmir and
To call this mutilitated data as "adjusted" is an insult to the I.Q. of average Indian. Frankly, it is something fit to be labeled as "maladjusted" census data, because there could be no legal or moral justification for omitting more than 3.6 percent of
First, why was not the same dubiously ingenious method of arriving at the "adjusted" data applied at the time of analyzing the census 1991 figures? At that time, too, there was a similar problem in relation to one State that is
Second, what is the legal and moral justification for omitting the head count of Jammu & Kashmir and
Third, will not this dangerous step of excluding the census data of 2 strife-torn States from 1961 onwards send a wrong signal to the ISI-sponsored separatist forces operating in the two vulnerable states? Will it not strengthen their case for breaking away from the Indian Union? As a result of this short sighted move, devised solely to garner communal votes in the elections in Maharashtra and other States the insurgent groups of J& K and Assam will be able to convince their local supporters, and even proclaim at the international fora, that the Government of India has no case to prevent them from seceding because of the deletion of all residents of J. & K. and Assam from India's census data for the last 40 years! They might convincingly argue that the Indian government does not consider them Indian nationals.
Fourth, what will be the methodology of analyzing the next census due in the year 2011 and thereafter in the subsequent decades? It looks inevitable that the 2 States of Jammu and
Fifth, is the government of the day legally empowered to play ducks and drakes with the census data, by deleting retrospectively nearly 3.6 percent of
Sixth, has the government any legal powers to modify, amend and delete with retrospective effect the census data pertaining to the last 40 years in such a cavalier and contrived manner, especially when there was absolutely no complaint from any quarter about the census data analyzed and published in the years 1961 to 1991? If this manipulative procedure is not challenged, it could lead to a situation in which every political dispensation coming to power in future will invent similar questionable methods for distorting the census findings to meet their political aims. There is absolutely no enabling provision in the Census Act, 1948, for making retrospective changes in the census data, especially after the head count had been conducted and published ten, twenty, thirty, or forty years ago.
Seventh, is not the government bound by the ethical norm of good governance in the matter of dissemination of correct and truthful information to the public? In a peculiar situation like the present one, what is the sanctity of the recently passed and much-hyped Right To Information Act, which received Presidential nod sometime ago for being placed on the statute book, especially when the government itself fudges facts? Can the government palm off the so-called "adjusted" census data as truthful information, if someone makes a formal request for religion-wise census data? Will not the government's action in deliberately excluding the population of the two States showing high percentage growth of Muslims constitute a deliberate and wanton act of concealment of truth and thus seen to be violative of the Right To Information Act?
Lastly, this manipulative episode did not show the Election Commission in good light either. This wanton manipulation of the census data on the eve of State elections was a clear violation of the model code of conduct and suo motto notice of government's malfeasance should have been taken by the Election Commission. It is difficult to accept that the Commission has really fulfilled its statutory responsibility to act as a wide-awake and effective watchdog, especially on the eve of
It is time that the government as well as the Indian people, especially the top politicians and educated classes, started viewing the phenomenon of the skewed population growth of
Not many TV anchors, nor many political leaders, know that within the next 50-60 years the 'Christian'
Without taking a global view of the fast changing demography, the Indian nation cannot prepare itself for handling the impact of skewed population changes on country's secular and pluralistic ethos and the consequential challenge of the growing jihadist campaigns.
It is time for a rational, cool-headed and objective analysis of the census data in the context of national as well as global developments. Recourse to acerbic remarks and rabble-rousing invectives like 'malice-mongers', used by late Dr. Zakaria, are poor substitutes for a dispassionate discourse. Perhaps a great deal of noise being made by partisan politicians appears deliberate, unless it stems from their appalling ignorance.
Both in
Ultimately according to an agreement reached in 1943 between Maronite Christians and the Muslims, known as the National Pact of Lebanon, the two hostile groups decided to share power in proportion to their ratio in the country's population. The posts of top ministers in the government were apportioned between the Christians and the Muslims in the ratio of six to 5 respectively, based on 1932 census figures. Lebanese Christians were better educated and more enlightened than their Muslim counterparts whose lives were dominated and controlled by Mullahs and religious scholars.
While Christians restricted the size of their families, the Muslims did not, perhaps owing to the diktats of their clerics and religious preachers. By 1970 the Maronite Christians had landed themselves in a declining fertility rate of 4 children per woman, while the Muslims maintained a steady fertility rate of 6 children per woman. The result was that between 1965 and 1970
The foregoing facts speak for themselves, even though they defy the prevalent culture of political correctness, deeply ingrained in a section of our country's westernized middle class and inattentive English media. It is difficult to fathom how can they fail to understand that the growing asymmetry in the religious composition of population will surely and seriously undermine the secular and multicultural character of Indian nation in not-too-distant future. Apparently these busybodies have developed a myopic vision. Nearer home, they refuse to see the frightening consequences of sharp demographic changes taking place in the northeastern region,
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Mail feedback to author Shri R K Ohri: rkohri@airtelbroadband.in
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Long Live Sanatan Dharam
September 2006