- Five distinguished speakers spoke about the path to Viksit
Bharat-challenges and solutions.
An esamskriti author sent me a message of a talk at Dehradun
titled, ‘Bharat: Visha Guru ki Rah Par’ on 28/3/2025 at Dehradun. The topic got
me interested so I requested him for a U tube recording. I heard the recording
and reproduce thoughts of learned speakers.
The panel discussion was organised by Doon Library and Research
Centre, Chintan Research Foundation and Indian Institute of Public
Administration, Uttarakhand Chapter. The speakers were –
1. Shri Anand Bardhan, Chief Secretary, Uttarakhand Government.
2. Shri Amitabh Kant, former CEO of the NITI Aayog and G20
Sherpa.
3. Rajeev Kher, former Commerce Secretary, Government of India,
and Member, Competition.
4. Shri Shankar Agarwal, former Secretary Urban Development,
Govt of India.
5. Moderator Shishir Priyadarshi Former Director WTO and
President Chintan Research
I
tried to capture the words of the respected speakers by listening to video. Any
errors in reproducing thoughts are only mine. To hear video 1 hour
First
was a book release of latest book co-authored by Shri Amitabh Kant. It is
titled ‘Smarter Than The Storm: Championing the AI-Climate Nexus for a Truly
Sustainable Future’ and can be bought online here
Shri Anand Bardhan’s thoughts
Uttarakhand
is deeply rooted in India’s spiritual ethos. This spirituality existed for
thousands of years. The world looked to India for guidance and wisdom.
We
are looking to reviving the state by combining spirituality with modern
economics.
In
an evolving world order India is a dynamic nation- the fastest growing major economy,
has a demographic advantage, voice in global affairs, becoming stronger and more
respected. During Covid we saw power of India.
If
India has to become a Vishwa Guru (VG), not as a dominant power but as a guide, our institutions of higher learning centres must
become centres of global education. India’s cultural richness being its soft
power needs to used. Thus, cultural diplomacy assumes importance. India is also
the world’s biggest democracy. Democratic Institutions strengthen its credibility
globally. India is a Union of States thus both Centre and States need to
contribute.
In
this context, Uttarakhand can contribute. It is the spiritual heartland of India.
Has both spiritual and meditation sites.
The
role of Knowledge Institutions are important. They can bridge the gap between
policy, society and academia.
Modern
knowledge with tradition will define India’s leadership in the world.
The
role of Youth is important. They are both confident and innovative.
During
Q&A Shri Bardhan said it is important for citizens to have civic sense too.
Government is changing but citizens must be responsible too.
My
short comment: India cannot have academic
centres of educational excellence attracting students from across the world if
Reservations plays such an important part in our education system.
Shri A Kant’s thoughts
It
is not feasible to be a VG till we have lifted large segments of the population
about the poverty line. Our per capita income very low. So, economy size has to
grow to 30 trillion economy. This means 8.5% growth for three decades. Very few
countries did this for e.g. Japan, South Korea and China. Most countries were
caught in the middle income trap.
India
requires the ability to govern well for which we require political will. India
has moved from top 5 to top 4 economy in the world because of structural reforms
like Insolvency Code, RERA and reduction in corporate taxes reduced. We gave
Indians a Digital Identity – all digital in 30 seconds to 1 minute. 91% of Indian
women today have a bank account. All based on Open Source architecture.
India
has also built lot of infrastructure - 40 million houses, water connectivity to
253 million households and electricity connection to 30 million. We now attempt
to go green. Decarbonization - 260 GWH of renewal energy.
India
must use Technology to leapfrog-AI, Green Hydrogen etc. We must bring back
manufacturing.
1.
For manufacturing to increase from 16 to 25% exports has to be driver. AND
2.
Atleast 12 states need to grow at 10%. While the west and south ok, the eastern
part of India lags. We need Agriculture productivity to grow in a big way. For
that need Human Development. Use AI-technology to leapfrog.
We
can do so because India is very young unlike the West. The youth need to be
chief drivers of growth.
During
Q&A Shri Kant said – India has to grow in conflict i.e. the challenge.
Earlier one could import, value add and export. That value chain is disrupted
now so becoming another China is tough.
India needs another strategy for growth.
The
world will see the biggest growth because of AI and Open Sourcing. It will
transform lives of every global citizen. We must use technology to leapfrog. We
missed the semiconductor bus earlier but are catching up. India has young
demographics. No country does all things right. He ended by saying there is a
huge opportunity for India.
Shri Rajiv Kher thoughts (trade expert)
Our
dream must be to reach a point in the global community where people would take
India more seriously than today. It means bigger share of golden trade.
Material
prosperity is important if India is to be considered VG. We must have capacity
to leverage or else the global community may not choose India as the
arbitrator. Civilizational heft not enough. We have done a lot in the last few
years.
But
India has been walking in jerks-one fine morning India becomes protectionist
and conservative. It suddenly changes tack without understanding impact
By
way of background, international trade was driven by a rules based order.
Initially GATT. In 1994 came WTO (World Trade Organization). Sadly, due to global
political changes we moved from open door to closed, bipolar world- unipolar-multipolar
world. Today, trade is perhaps the most complicated issue in world economics –
subject to a variety of treatment by countries.
For
a developing country like India, trade architecture is multi trade-rules based
order. Sadly, right from 1994 WTO based on a consensus mechanism – political dynamics
changing-created a situation where consensus rarely happens. To be a VG, India has
to create an environment for consensus.
Sadly,
the positions India takes has not helped in last ten years. Thus, India is a
leader of global south today is less than what it was years ago.
Thus,
WTO become dysfunctional. India promoted regionalization of trade but India is a
reluctant liberaliser (1991 was compulsion). Between 2014 to 2021 it was
important for India to have a FTA. India must export-become competitive-increase
scale of production-more volumes means lower cost. Bangladesh took advantage in
the textile sector while India did not.
We
need to change our reluctance to opening up. If productivity improves, a great
future lies ahead. Imports essential part of exports.
Now
suddenly seven FTA in last 3 years, esp. the one with EU. Remember that customs
duty cut is not enough-there are a whole of non-tariff areas for e.g. quality
of product. Manufacturers have to imbibe high quality and standard, that idea
has to be absorbed- this is the second challenge.
Third
challenge–Sustainability. Trade and Sustainability moving slowly by India. Now
problems will start. EU wants sustainability dimensions to be adopted.
India
needs investments to cater to its own market and export to the world. We need
to be part of global value chain for e.g. how Apple transformed manufacturing eco
system.
India
needs to build on some areas for e.g. agriculture i.e. where reform process
comes in.
Shri
Kher brought out the complexity of global trade.
Shri Shankar Agarwal thoughts (expert on Urban Development)
We
have created an example where people are stable.
Japan,
South Korea, China developed because of technology. Harness technology – then only
can be become developed. Young people to harness technology for benefit of all.
Challenges
faced by India inspite of growth - Large number people poor, Lack of education,
good quality health care, Water Supply not good for e.g. recent Indore deaths. Unless
we are willing to change, we cannot be developed.
1.
Education- without improvement there will be no demographic divided. AI can
play important role in this change.
2.
Health care- Better in the South than North. Technology can help.
3.
People do not pay Income-Tax.
4.
India has lots of Inequality
5.
Find a way to deal with migration from rural to urban so improve cities
infrastructure – water, homes, health.
6.
Create Models and give to the world. One time we were good in Urban Planning.
My Comments in brief
None
talked about why we were considered Vishwa Guru at some point. None talked
about how India can regain that place again. None talked about export of Yoga,
Ayurveda and Spirituality. The focus was on Viksit Bharat. I appreciate the
importance of growth and material prosperity but that was not the program
title.
India
should aim to be VISHWA MITRA (world’s friend) not VISHWA GURU. What that means
and how is the subject matter of another article.
Also read
1.
How India can realize potential Hindustan Times and eSamskriti
2.
Make in India and
Make for the World